关键词: 情绪预测, 归因风格, 外部情绪信息, 特质焦虑, 中介

Abstract: To explore the working models of attributional styles on emotion predictions of future events and possible constraints,  107 students  were selected from a university to  fill in the Attributional Style Questionnaire (ASQ) and the Trait Anxiety Inventory (T-AI). They experienced one of emotion induction (sad vs. neutral) then, and finally predicted the likelihood of a series of positive and negative events in the future. The results showed that : (1) Attributional styles could significantly predict the likelihood of positive and negative events, and the effect of attribution style on the likelihood of negative events will be constrained by external emotional stimuli; (2) For individuals with typically optimistic or pessimistic attributional tendencies, external emotional stimuli had no constraint on their emotional predictions; (3) Trait anxiety had a partial mediating effect between the attributional styles and the likelihood of future positive events; and it had a full mediating effect between the attributional style and the likelihood of future negative events. The results indicated that compared with external emotional information, attributional style, plays a major role in predicting future emotional events and influences the emotional prediction of future events through trait anxiety.

Key words: emotional prediction, attributional style, external emotion information, trait anxiety, mediating effect